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The first version of §479, written earlier this session on 3 data points, said the permuter is a one-shot at <=4 mismatched. Five more runs make it 3 of 8, and the failures are not marginal: a residual of 1 failed while a residual of 4 banked, so mismatch count predicts nothing. The real predictor is prior-attempt history. All three winners were drafts nobody had worked. Every failure was a body an agent or prior wave had already optimised (5, 6 and 4 prior levers respectively). A draft a competent search has plateaued is plateaued for the permuter too — its wins come from unexplored neighbourhoods, not from small numbers. Same predictor as §479's triage paragraph, reached from the opposite direction.