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97a6864677
The Fable-5 agent's harness blocked it from writing to disk, so its full analysis existed ONLY in the completion notification — one session away from being lost. Transcribed verbatim to .run/fable_frontier/ANALYSIS.md and force-added (with its computed pools, pool_ovres.json), and CURRENT_PHASE.md's new T7 points at it so future sessions know where the detail lives. T7 supersedes T6's wave ordering on one number: across every sweep run this project has done, blockers are ~24k PLUMBING vs 4,917 DIFF (5:1). Fixing plumbing moves work from the ~490 tok/ins wave column to ~0, and S1 restores the propagation multiplier that makes every later wave ~3x cheaper. DO S1 BEFORE ANY WAVE. S1-S7 recorded with reachable-ins and tok/ins estimates. Provenance is explicit: the two headline refutations were independently re-verified (23,211 classified files exist; 0x801833f0 went 0/6 -> 6/6 after the type lift, R22 140/140); the POOL NUMBERS are the agent's own computation and are NOT re-verified — flagged in the file to verify before scaling a wave onto them (R14). Standing pre-probe rule added: check h_norm identity across members BEFORE probing (an h_norm- identical family returning 0% is a compile-error certainty), and read the classified files before theorising about a sweep failure.