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- MEASURED BASIS (P30 S7, 144-target campaign): the two-tier rule from the 2026-06-29 A/B left the ~50-120-ins band unassigned, and every wave since defaulted it to Haiku-with-Opus-escalation. Haiku-direct banked 3/8 on that band while Opus-escalation-after-a-Haiku-miss banked 10/11 — i.e. Haiku was acting as EXPENSIVE TRIAGE (a wasted draft + a full Opus redraft), not a cheap drafter. The original A/B only proved parity <=52 ins; everything above that was extrapolation. - LADDER: haiku <=~50 ins · SONNET ~50-120 · opus >=~120 or escalation · fable5 for a genuinely NEW wall class only. Never haiku->opus directly; never default a whole wave to opus because the band "looks hard" (the same extrapolation in the other direction). - WIRED, not just documented: s7_manifest.py routes by the new thresholds; s7_wave4b.js escalates haiku->sonnet->opus instead of haiku->opus, and its meta/prose say so. - Boundaries (~50/~120) are current best estimates — re-measure per-tier from the journal + the gate, never from the workflow's by_tier (it counts claims, not banks — §136). - Byte-gate remains the sole arbiter, so a weaker drafter is a throughput risk, never a correctness risk (G3/P9). cookbook-index 378 -> 379.